hhmx.de

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 17:31:18

The most maddening tech discourse these days is that we need AI to figure out how to solve climate change.

We've known how to completely solve climate change for more than a decade, thanks. We just don't want to.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 17:35:57

@quinn I remember the first push about climate change was in the early 1970s. So we've known for 50 years.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 17:40:49

@ErgonWolf @quinn Yup.

The Limits to Growth

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 18:35:49

@c_merriweather @ErgonWolf @quinn not quite correct. Limits to Growth largely didn't figure in climate change triggered by our production of green house gases.
It did demonstrate unlimited economic and population growth was impossible and would actual go into reverse as we exhausted resources, such as oil and minerals.
While some people had worked out that burning oil and coal produced GHGs and led warming temperatures back in the 19th century the wider appreciation (many of us still haven't got it) that we would soon be pushing the limits due to green house gases raising global temperatures to a degree that was environmentally significantly came a little later and after Limits to Growth was published.
Limits to Growth did discuss pollution, but it was concerned with a wide range of pollutants and in its BAU scenario it projected pollution and in particular CO2 as a solvable problem (the thinking was we would switch to nuclear energy for power) while at the same time foreseeing an exhaustion of non-renewable resources as being the main limiting factor.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:34:24

@ErgonWolf not really? we've known it was a problem since the 1800s, but the practical solutions are mostly in the last 20 years. solar/battery/wind etc hasn't been in a position to scale until very recently.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 20:09:59

@quinn "Practical solutions" have been around for a long time. I remember Ford putting out a small car that didn't sell.
People don't like practical solutions.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 17:36:25

@quinn

Replace the last 'we' by 'Rich as eff billionaires' and you might be onto something.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:35:17

@ParadeGrotesque they can't drive a billion cars at once tho, can they?

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 20:07:38

@quinn @ParadeGrotesque
They can decide not to take a 6 min private jet trip.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 20:13:23

@quinn

No, but they can fly a shitload of private jets. Which is almost worse than cars.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 17:37:39

@quinn we must destroy the planet to save it.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:02:10

@vmstan @quinn
Funny thing is the planet will be here, it is us humans which will not.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:35:55

@dominikg @vmstan i mean depending on nuclear proliferation... 😂

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 17:38:19

@quinn sorry, I can't hear you over the noise, I have to build a nuclear power plant to get enough energy for my climate-fixing AI-Datacenter

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 17:40:38

@quinn
I think that discourse could be useful, though

For instance, anyone who says we need AI to solve climate change is a prime target for expropriation

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 17:49:04

@quinn The part I find frustrating about climate discourse is that everyone talks about it as if it's the planet that's in danger. The planet doesn't care. The ecosystem will adapt. The thing at risk is our survival. We're not "fighting for the planet" we're fighting for our own survival.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:37:25

@Mustardfacial we're fighting for the holocene, specifically, planet is fine, we know what we mean. don't be a pedant about it, we all know the geology is fine 😂

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:53:03

@quinn Not trying to be a pedant about it. Just pointing out that the conversation is always "humans need to save the planet" instead of "humans need to preserve the specific climate required for our survival." It's not even about the holocene, that's just a period of time.

When we speak of the fight for climate change, the victim in the statement is always "the planet" and that makes it very easy to be apathetic about the problem. It obfuscates the issue because the victim isn't "the planet". The victim is us. The victim is humanity.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 17:57:22

@quinn But if AI says it, then... well... the billionaires would probably outlaw AI completely, and I guess that would be a win, sort of.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 17:59:23

@quinn

More than a hundred years. The amount of time we have known about burning carbon is longer than the amount of time, since we began the industrial revolution until we were warned.

co2 warning history, 1800's

daily.jstor.org/how-19th-centu

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:38:29

@kevinrns not that we knew about climate change, that we had the knowledge and tech to solve it is pretty recent.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 20:10:32

@quinn

These are the electric ambulances that plied the streets of New York City

the solution is 'don't burn carbon for fuel'

emsmuseum.org/collections/arch

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 18:00:18

Sarcastic Cynicism(?)

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 18:40:38

Sarcastic Cynicism(?)

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 18:04:49

@quinn
I mean, *we* want to, but the people saying they need AI to give them a different answer, one they prefer, don't want to.

We also know what to do about those people to stop them deciding we can not do anything about climate change if they don't like how it has to be done, but they don't like that answer either.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 18:30:09

@quinn I think "decade" should be "century" in your post. Other than that, I agree!

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:40:42

@mkj we didn't have the solar/wind/etc until recently.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 20:09:21

@quinn @mkj
We could have decided to wait, to spread other technologies across the globe, to ask people what they wanted, to consider what our values and priorities were.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 18:32:04

@quinn it’s like me trying to figure out how to lose weight but without any exercise or diet… maybe AI can help with this as well?

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 18:43:49

@quinn True. And not true ;)

We definitely can solve the part we've caused, but one of the realizations from climate change research is not only what our CO2/methane emissions do, but also a lot more insight into the natural part.

There is some misconception that as long as we fix our emissions climate will be "stable". It never has been. Thus we should do climate adaptions _in addition_ to halting emissions.

(Don't build houses in flood valleys/Plant trees in cities/Don't build close to the coastlines/Make sure rain has _equal_ ability to get soaked up on land we've built on ... etc)

Föderation DE Di 05.11.2024 19:11:27

@quinn What they mean, of course, is that some technomagical hyperintelligence will find a solution where everyone can keep doing whatever they do, the rich and powerful can keep their power and wealth, and nothing really changes at all.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:25:57

@quinn
People push technological solutions to social problems because they don't want to solve social problems.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:31:23

@quinn it's just a way to dilute the argument and weaken support for any solution, if you can add ever more "but ifs", in order to both-side & all-sides, and hand the destructive status quo a win.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:33:36

@quinn I'm old enough to remember a wave of posts about using blockchain to...do something...that would solve global warming. At least it gave me lots of people to block on LinkedIn.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:40:04

@quinn Exactly. Take the billions away from the billionaires, use them to solve the problems.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:43:47

Well then, let an LLM tell them to stop burning oil. The correct answer isn't going to change, no matter who delivers the message.

Föderation EN Di 05.11.2024 19:51:20

@quinn 40 years, more like. And we're halfway through doing it already.